Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 31.462673 33.807719 36.362857 39.376624 42.864916 46.814677 51.683275
2025-11-02 28.070204 31.198223 34.828465 39.433228 45.243787 52.522358 62.673126
2025-11-09 25.487148 28.846862 32.883872 38.224275 45.328255 54.834387 69.310856
2025-11-16 23.512178 26.954721 31.195330 36.981418 44.995150 56.301428 74.865304
2025-11-23 22.682124 26.364100 31.024111 37.606543 47.159238 61.529732 87.546182
2025-11-30 21.729268 25.519194 30.415420 37.520498 48.226531 65.226126 98.850210
2025-12-07 20.787195 24.611012 29.631749 37.077226 48.649922 67.898347 109.190606
2025-12-14 19.522114 23.199743 28.065054 35.354082 46.853433 66.421703 110.197390
2025-12-21 18.988614 22.733917 27.763922 35.456965 47.971251 70.320898 125.216568
2025-12-28 18.611270 22.452876 27.693319 35.884555 49.657368 75.626179 147.090371
2026-01-04 17.885316 21.656464 26.839770 35.028599 49.026828 76.169522 155.702559
2026-01-11 17.698230 21.594862 27.036214 35.830125 51.411923 83.585797 193.477723
2026-01-18 17.418464 21.472937 27.257396 36.903742 54.894984 95.761433 279.370784
2026-01-25 16.880865 20.966552 26.888207 36.999032 56.624271 104.883129 392.824962
2026-02-01 16.122917 20.095504 25.896197 35.912742 55.737907 106.507909 467.034988
2026-02-08 15.424064 19.277618 24.937652 34.799439 54.628054 107.147590 547.185809
2026-02-15 15.159286 19.081132 24.929244 35.360041 57.231527 120.890436 1121.831368
2026-02-22 14.779194 18.693037 24.590399 35.282923 58.390904 130.695203 2856.111197
2026-03-01 14.362217 18.230479 24.104262 34.885349 58.727852 137.785540 24033.140441
2026-03-08 13.739987 17.436601 23.046915 33.336126 56.056117 131.096691 16667.608146
2026-03-15 13.482416 17.185564 22.860052 33.428792 57.466322 143.313260 NaN
2026-03-22 13.296957 17.035508 22.828185 33.813692 59.701319 161.923000 NaN
2026-03-29 12.907708 16.558697 22.232128 33.042822 58.761905 163.232837 NaN